MS4H04 - Time Series and Forecasting 04 Dec 2020 - 31 Aug 2026 | Version 1

Associated Module Information

Module Code: MS4H04
Module Title: Time Series and Forecasting
Faculty: Faculty of Computing, Engineering and Science
Faculty Group: Computing and Mathematics
Faculty Sub Group: Maths
Module Leader: Angelica Pachon
Module Team: Stephanie Perkins, Rebecca Peters
First Intended Intake: JAN 2025 Final Year of Intake: 2025
Date Closed:
Credit Value: 10 Credit Level: 7
Language: English
Percentage of Module Taught in Welsh: 0
Equivalent Module:
HECOS codes: 100992 - machine learning 101034 - statistical modelling
HECOS Code Weighting: 25 75

Document Version Information

Version 1
Valid From 04 Dec 2020
Valid To 31 Aug 2026

Module Aims

To provide an understanding into the discovery, interpretation, and communication of meaningful patterns in data and the ability to implement, interpret and critically analyse results from complex models.

Content Summary

This module aims to explore time series modelling including classical additive and multiplicative models. A detailed presentation of trend and seasonal decomposition, for a range of scenarios, will constitute the core of the module. As a result, students will develop strong foundations to understand independently more advanced models.

Learning and Teaching Methods

Activity Type Hours
Lecture 8
Seminar 8
Tutorial 8
Independent Study 40
Directed Study 36
Total Hours Selected 100

Learning Outcomes

# Learning Outcome
LO1 Understand underlying concepts and theory of analytical techniques through industry software.
LO2 Critically analyse, interpret, and evaluate the outputs of time series & forecasting techniques to support useful insights from complex datasets.

Module Requisites

N/A

Assessment Criteria

Assessment Category Assessment Type Description Duration Word Count Weight (%) Best of? Pass Mark
Set Exercise - Not Time Constrained (CW) Set Tasks - not-time constrained 1 Analyse a data source using suitable statistical modelling techniques and report appropriate conclusions from the results. 0 3000 100 No 40

Assessment Matrix

Assessment Type Learning Outcomes
LO1 LO2
Set Tasks - not-time constrained 1

Reading List

Brockwell. P. J., Davis, R. A. (2016) Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting (Springer Text in Statistics). 3rd edn. Springer

Makridakis, S. G., Wheelwright, S. C. and Hyndman, R. J. (2008) Forecasting Methods and Applications. India: Wiley india Pvt.

Madsen, H. (2007) Time Series Analysis. Boca Raton: Chapman & Hall/CRC

Chatfield, C., Xing, H. (2019) The Analysis of Time Series an Introduction with R (Texts in Statistical Science Series). 7th edn. Chapman & Hall/CRC

Cryer, J. D., Chang, K. S. (2008) Time Series Analysis with Applications in R (Springer Text in Statistics). 2nd edn. Springer